He's sharing those selections only over at SportsLine. The MMA analyst knows this fight is critical for both veteran welterweights because it appears to be something of an elimination bout. The winner has a chance to join a long list of contenders in the welterweight division, where Kamaru Usman is the sitting champion.
However, the loser is almost assured of heading to also-ran status. That's because there are questions surrounding both fighters based on their recent performances. Masvidal ran across the ring and landed the flying knee that forever turned a knocked-cold Askren into an Internet meme and was the fastest knockout in UFC history. Askren likely risks release from UFC if he loses to Maia, the year-old Brazilian jiu-jitsu specialist who has won two straight bouts.
But he is just in his past six bouts and already is seen as something of a gatekeeper against potential welterweight prospects. Those three losses came against Usman, former champ Tyron Woodley and former interim champ Colby Covington. You can get all of Marley's Maia vs. Askren picks at SportsLine. Dariush goes for his third consecutive victory and comes off a submission win against Drew Dober in March. On the other side of the octagon, Camacho has lost two of this last three fights, but knocked out Nick Hein in June.
He could win with a knockout or judge's decision, if he can keep it standing," Marley told SportsLine. Marley also has strong picks for Maia vs. Kennedy's strong suit is his ground game, but there is nobody in the world better at submission grappling than Gracie. That is why Kennedy will need to use a wiser strategy of striking and clinch.
If Kennedy can do that, he will walk away victorious. Just don't expect to make a load of money off either man's win. The biggest difference in betting lines comes in the co-main event, when former champion Frankie Edgar meets the young and talented Charles Oliveira. Edgar is world class, plain and simple. He has great boxing, quickness, wrestling and athleticism.
Oliveira is a solid striker with top-notch Brazilian jiu-jitsu. If you call the upset and Oliveira wins, prepare to take a nice slice of cash with you. However, Edgar is the major favorite for a reason, so don't be an ounce bit surprised if he wins the fight. The lines for Anderson Silva vs. Chris Weidman are a lot closer than I expected. That being said, it is no surprise the champion is the favorite in the bout. There is no better striker than Anderson Silva.
His fluid movement and devastating arsenal of attacks makes him the greatest fighter in the history of MMA. His glaring weakness is wrestling, which happens to be Weidman's strong suit. If he plays spoiler, it would be Silva's first ever loss in the UFC.
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Still, Pannie has shown little ability to get off her back previously two losses via rear-naked choke. Over the course of three rounds, Pannie can win on volume she has landed more than combined significant strikes in her past two fights if she can keep the fight standing, but Eubanks 1. This should be a close fight, even if she does win. Morono represents a significant step down in competition for Pettis — who is risking his No.
Pettis is a superior athlete and one of the most creative fighters in the history of the sport. Morono needs to turn this into an ugly scrap where he presses forward, absorbs damage, and pushes the pace for the entire duration. If he can maintain that forward pressure and grind Pettis up against the cage, Morono could grind his way to a decision victory or potentially even find a finish against a declining veteran.
Hardy continues to make improvements at Heavyweight — looking incredibly composed in his victory over Maurice Greene — but Tybura presents his first real test against a true grappler 1. Whether Tybura has the strength to hold down the former All-Pro defensive lineman is the biggest mystery surrounding how this fight plays out. However, he also has significantly more experience than all of those fighters except for Alexander Volkov.
Robertson is stepping in for Montana de la Rosa, who was scheduled to fight Santos on the Dec. However, Gillian should win the grappling matchup and aggressively pursue takedowns 3. Santos was also much more aggressive with her own offensive wrestling in a July victory over Molly McCann landed 5-of-7 takedowns with of control time and made comparable improvements at age 27 to her year-old opponent. This is a relatively quick turnaround for Moraes, who suffered a highlight-reel knockout loss at the hands of Cory Sandhagen in October:.
The loss continued a worrying trend for Marlon, who slowed down after the opening minutes of the fight — as he did in prior bouts against both Henry Cejudo and Jose Aldo — on the heels of three consecutive first-round wins since December The Brazilian no longer has the gas tank to maintain his finishing power or volume late into fights, but he remains explosive early. I would expect Font — the naturally larger man 2-inch height and 4-inch reach advantage to wear on Moraes the longer this fight goes.
This should largely remain a kickboxing match, but if Font decides to take the fight to the ground 1. If Font stays out of trouble early, keeps the fight at range for 15 minutes, and mixes his strikes to all three levels, I think this is bout to lose — despite the underdog status. As a result, look for Font to weather that early storm, and plan to live bet him after Round 1. He has landed 15 total strikes in the UFC and flattened two opponents.
Khaos Williams returns this weekend against the always entertaining Michel Pereira. So far, it looks like Khaos owns the death touch that so few fighters possess, but we want all of them to have. But how do you reconcile the results from his career on the regional scene with those recent finishes? Perhaps, his UFC results to date are an anomaly — the result of two extremely well-placed and well-times strikes given his career trajectory.
Still, he has also never been finished. As a result, I expect Vera to lose the first round against an in-form Aldo, who should begin to tire out in the second half of the fight. Aldo needs to rely on early volume to win the first two rounds, and Chito will likely be searching for a late finish against a tiring opponent.
Like the Eubanks-Kianzad fight on the undercard, I see value in the main event from three different betting perspectives 1 underdog moneyline; 2 underdog decision prop; 3 fight goes the distance. Neal is the younger, faster, and more powerful man, but stamina has been an issue for him in the past, and this is his first attempt going five rounds. In a smaller cage at APEX, Thompson will have less room to maneuver outside of the octagon, and Neal should find it a bit easier to track him down and throw power shots.
But Wonderboy has proven excellent at avoiding pressure in the past — the primary concern is whether he has slowed down or taken a hit in terms of durability at age He was able to pick apart the highly aggressive Vicente Luque on significant strikes last November and will need to adjust to increased power from Neal in this spot. Thompson closed at against Luque, for instance, and looked about after the fact. Grappling : Overeem is the superior grappler in 3 of 4 statistical categories, only bested in takedown accuracy.
Sakai W Alistair Overeem vs. Walt Harris Jairzinho Rosenstruik Oleinik W Alistair Overeem vs. Sergey Pavlovich UFC Khabib vs. Gaethje W Alexander Volkov vs. Curtis Blaydes Kattar W Alexander Volkov vs. UFC Nurmagomedov vs. McGregor W Alexander Volkov vs.
Fabricio Werdum For Volkov, I see at least one or two more wins on top of Overeem if he wants a go at the champion. Whoever can impose their gameplan on the other fighter will win this bout. Overeem will most likely look to grapple, whereas Volkov will look to keep the fight standing and finish Alistair. Volkov features a classic veteran vs. Frankie Edgar, 39, made his UFC bantamweight debut in his last fight, earning an impressive underdog win over 8 ranked Pedro Munhoz.
Edgar is in his last 5. A win over Edgar sets up Sandhagen for a bout against the winner of Petr Yan vs. Aljamain Sterling, while a win over Sandhagen throws Frankie Edgar into the title mix in his new weight division. Volkov, between Cory Sandhagen and Frankie Edgar. As expected, Sandhagen is a very large favorite over Edgar who could likely get underdog support from casual UFC bettors just based on his name.
Edgar is 39 years old and peaked back in when he captured and defended the lightweight title. His mindset seems to be that he has no problem going to the ground because he believes in his ability to scramble back to his feet. Still, I see very few indications that Edgar is a valuable bet, and even at I honestly believe the value is on the year younger fighter, but not H2H. For value, I recommend looking at the Sandhagen by decision lines when they open.
Age : Cory Sandhagen is 11 years younger than Frankie Edgar. In matchups with an year gap, the youngster wins 7 out of 10 times. Striking Wiz : Sandhagen has one of the highest active striking differentials in the UFC, meaning that he dishes out significantly more strikes compared to what he absorbs. Sandhagen W Cory Sandhagen vs. Marlon Moraes. UFC Nunes vs. Spencer L Cory Sandhagen vs. Aljamain Sterling UFC Cormier vs.
Miocic 2 W Cory Sandhagen vs. John Lineker Dillashaw W Cory Sandhagen vs. Pedro Munhoz Chan Sung Jung